Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.534211e-02 0.017186 0.019048 0.021061 0.023172 0.025314 0.027647
2025-04-13 1.093090e-02 0.013695 0.016624 0.019926 0.023514 0.027272 0.031480
2025-04-20 8.940512e-03 0.012308 0.016017 0.020327 0.025129 0.030260 0.036103
2025-04-27 6.980184e-03 0.010641 0.014839 0.019861 0.025584 0.031805 0.038991
2025-05-04 5.368576e-03 0.009156 0.013685 0.019258 0.025741 0.032898 0.041266
2025-05-11 4.480526e-03 0.008435 0.013335 0.019499 0.026782 0.034910 0.044496
2025-05-18 3.575241e-03 0.007569 0.012719 0.019351 0.027311 0.036294 0.046975
2025-05-25 2.651280e-03 0.006540 0.011805 0.018769 0.027272 0.036978 0.048619
2025-06-01 1.950205e-03 0.005713 0.011077 0.018356 0.027383 0.037796 0.050378
2025-06-08 1.371907e-03 0.004960 0.010376 0.017924 0.027431 0.038508 0.051986
2025-06-15 1.015598e-03 0.004503 0.010043 0.017931 0.027987 0.039793 0.054234
2025-06-22 6.292253e-04 0.003864 0.009389 0.017478 0.027947 0.040351 0.055619
2025-06-29 2.674533e-04 0.003112 0.008565 0.016863 0.027816 0.040946 0.057235
2025-07-06 2.985810e-05 0.002269 0.007491 0.015868 0.027206 0.040993 0.058259
2025-07-13 1.492822e-07 0.002035 0.007399 0.016231 0.028326 0.043127 0.061741
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001565 0.006797 0.015814 0.028400 0.043965 0.063668
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001129 0.006149 0.015274 0.028277 0.044532 0.065249
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000957 0.006013 0.015490 0.029148 0.046319 0.068282
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000725 0.005672 0.015357 0.029532 0.047487 0.070558
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000454 0.005114 0.014837 0.029360 0.047940 0.071955
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000269 0.004674 0.014468 0.029372 0.048607 0.073598
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000131 0.004248 0.014084 0.029341 0.049204 0.075141
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000069 0.004057 0.014090 0.029850 0.050482 0.077512